Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.098324 0.109764 0.121614 0.134775 0.148953 0.163739 0.180294
2024-10-27 0.079139 0.095894 0.114262 0.135757 0.160084 0.186628 0.217644
2024-11-03 0.070561 0.091715 0.116032 0.145719 0.180639 0.220077 0.267635
2024-11-10 0.059192 0.082424 0.110382 0.145887 0.189144 0.239507 0.301923
2024-11-17 0.051341 0.076140 0.107237 0.148114 0.199423 0.260698 0.338354
2024-11-24 0.044306 0.069863 0.103195 0.148443 0.206806 0.278107 0.370263
2024-12-01 0.041547 0.068849 0.105594 0.156742 0.224104 0.307819 0.417617
2024-12-08 0.039199 0.068042 0.107999 0.164894 0.241227 0.337529 0.465450
2024-12-15 0.034878 0.063823 0.105247 0.165722 0.248506 0.354641 0.497540
2024-12-22 0.029960 0.058109 0.099841 0.162405 0.249870 0.363886 0.519523
2024-12-29 0.028202 0.057122 0.101121 0.168360 0.263773 0.389611 0.563038
2025-01-05 0.026161 0.055430 0.101160 0.172409 0.275033 0.411951 0.602432
2025-01-12 0.023756 0.053038 0.100204 0.175307 0.285289 0.433902 0.642784
2025-01-19 0.021408 0.050497 0.098852 0.177574 0.294786 0.455177 0.682904
2025-01-26 0.021343 0.052092 0.104205 0.190185 0.319483 0.497736 0.752335
2025-02-02 0.018966 0.049058 0.101742 0.190611 0.326441 0.515983 0.789318
2025-02-09 0.017266 0.047101 0.100890 0.193417 0.336864 0.539148 0.833277
2025-02-16 0.015375 0.044487 0.098673 0.193861 0.343667 0.557256 0.870502
2025-02-23 0.015100 0.045234 0.102373 0.203964 0.365215 0.596552 0.937467
2025-03-02 0.014805 0.045890 0.105905 0.213853 0.386599 0.635895 1.004956
2025-03-09 0.013366 0.043772 0.104189 0.214859 0.394224 0.655449 1.044898
2025-03-16 0.011473 0.040293 0.099654 0.210845 0.393854 0.663327 1.068466
2025-03-23 0.011032 0.040267 0.101665 0.218052 0.411181 0.697197 1.129099